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Voter Response to Natural Disaster Aid : Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Drought Relief Payments in Mexico

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dc.contributor.author Fuchs, Alan
dc.contributor.author Rodriguez-Chamussy, Lourdes
dc.date.accessioned 2014-04-10T19:41:25Z
dc.date.available 2014-04-10T19:41:25Z
dc.date.issued 2014-04
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17723
dc.description.abstract The paper estimates the effects on presidential election returns in Mexico of a government climatic contingency transfer that is allocated through rainfall-indexed insurance. The analysis uses the discontinuity in payments that slightly deviate from a pre-established threshold, based on rainfall accumulation measured at local weather stations. It turns out that voters reward the incumbent presidential party for delivering drought relief compensation. The paper finds that receiving indemnity payments leads to significantly greater average electoral support for the incumbent party of approximately 7.6 percentage points. The analysis suggests that the incumbent party is rewarded by disaster aid recipients and punished by non-recipients. The paper contributes to the literature on retrospective voting by providing evidence that voters evaluate government actions and respond to disaster spending. en
dc.language English
dc.language.iso en_US
dc.publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseries Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6836
dc.rights CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subject EMERGENCY RELIEF
dc.subject FLOODING
dc.subject RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subject CODES
dc.subject DISASTER RELIEF
dc.subject BASIC
dc.subject HUMIDITY
dc.subject AGRICULTURAL LAND
dc.subject TARGETING
dc.subject DROUGHT
dc.subject DISASTER AID
dc.subject POOR
dc.subject POLITICAL ECONOMY
dc.subject NATURAL DISASTER
dc.subject INSURANCE PREMIUM
dc.subject WEATHER STATIONS
dc.subject RELIEF EFFORTS
dc.subject RURAL
dc.subject RAINFALL MEASUREMENT
dc.subject DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
dc.subject INCOME FLUCTUATIONS
dc.subject PERSONAL COMPUTERS
dc.subject MEDIA
dc.subject RAINFALL
dc.subject RECONSTRUCTION
dc.subject WEATHER
dc.subject SOCIAL PROGRAMS
dc.subject RISK MANAGEMENT
dc.subject TEMPERATURE
dc.subject INSURER
dc.subject RESPONSE TO DISASTER
dc.subject ALTITUDE
dc.subject RAIN
dc.subject POOR RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subject DAMAGES
dc.subject INDEMNITY
dc.subject POVERTY REDUCTION
dc.subject NATURAL DISASTERS
dc.subject RURAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject INDEMNITIES
dc.subject INCOME
dc.subject FARMERS
dc.subject MONSOON
dc.subject CASH TRANSFERS
dc.subject HURRICANE
dc.subject DROUGHTS
dc.subject REINSURERS
dc.subject POLITICAL SUPPORT
dc.subject INSURANCE
dc.subject FARMER
dc.subject RELIEF
dc.subject NATURAL CATASTROPHES
dc.subject RURAL LIVELIHOODS
dc.title Voter Response to Natural Disaster Aid : Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Drought Relief Payments in Mexico en


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